Psst! Henk:

Bericht van: Takkie (Amstelveen) , 15-10-2009 16:50 

Tropical Storm TWENTYTWO is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
Ut Wordt Nix

Psst! Henk:   ( 330)
Takkie (Amstelveen) -- 15-10-2009 16:50
Alweer de Filipijnen op de korrel   ( 337)
Henk L. (Groningen) -- 15-10-2009 17:08
  Geen geluk dit jaar voor de Filipino's....  
Takkie (Amstelveen) -- 15-10-2009 17:10
Prognoses ECMWF   ( 242)
Henk L. (Groningen) -- 15-10-2009 17:11