Re : analyse: grote kans op doorzettend winterweer
Bericht van: Wietse (Groningen) , 09-02-2010 11:44
All of this means that pressure may well be higher to our west and north west for a longer period than currently modelled and the trough to our east also being stronger than modelled. The effects of a reversal in polar westerlies looks like occuring around day 8 in the lower troposphere which would tend to draw the ridge out to our west further north. So whereas some longer range models suggest an attack from the SW winning at least for southern Britain, I'm not so covinced it will that quick as the trough to our east may well be stiffer than anticipated.
netweather
Precies zoals ik al wel dacht. De modellen willen te snel de blokkade weer afbreken, omdat dit klimatalogisch niet 'klopt'. In het UGKB van de 06z run zie je dit ook weer gebeuren, binnen een paar dagen na deze kaart is het Groenlandhoog verdwenen.
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Bericht laatst bijgewerkt: 09-02-2010 11:45