Niet ingetekend maar wel in de tekst:
...N France, Benelux, W Germany...
The GFS model predicts consistently very slight CAPE over the this area, but in different positions every time. Dynamic forcing should also be nearly neutral, and there appear no features in 10m winds in GFS. It is possible for a very isolated thunder to occur, which may be elevated in the warm air advection regime. 00Z Brest sounding shows potential instability which could be turned into convection with some lift. In principle low level shear and helicity are decent enough for an isolated tornado if a stronger cell manages to develop, though deep layer shear is not great at 15 m/s. There is more doubt than there is confidence in this scenario.
Quote selectie