Het ENS van GFS en EC op 240 uur wijst nog steeds op een sterk Groenlandhoog (afwijking bij EC zelfs boven hoogste waarde van de schaal!) en lagedruk bij de Azoren. Opvallend vind ik ook lagedruk bij de Oostzee. Indicatie toch dat er lagedrukgebieden zich gaan vormen.
Een Modelbeoordeling kan je trouwens hier vinden
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/fxus06.html
6-10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR NOV 23 - 27 2010
TODAYS ENSEMBLE MEAN AND OPERATIONAL SOLUTIONS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE EXPECTED MEAN 500-HPA CIRCULATION PATTERN OVER NORTH AMERICA FOR THE 6-10
DAY PERIOD. THE MODELS HAVE COME INTO NOTICEABLY BETTER AGREEMENT TODAY, COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. A GENERAL MODEL CONSENSUS PREDICTS A POSITIVELY TILTED
TROUGH EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL CANADA SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN U.S.
PLAINS AND ROCKIES, CENTRAL BASIN AND CALIFORNIA, AND A LOW AMPLITUDE RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEAST CONUS. IN ADDITION, THE CONSENSUS INDICATES A TROUGH
EXTENDING EASTWARD AND SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE CANADIAN MARITIMES INTO THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC, AND A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED BLOCKING RIDGE ACROSS GREENLAND AND
NEARBY ENVIRONS. IN THE ALASKA SECTOR, MOST SOLUTIONS PREDICT A TROUGH OVER WESTERN ALASKA, AND A RIDGE OVER EASTERN ALASKA, THOUGH THE 00Z CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEAN PREDICTS A RIDGE OVER THE BERING SEA AND A TROUGH OVER MAINLAND ALASKA.
En kaart van EC
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ecmwfens/12zECMWFENS500mbHeightAnomalyNH240.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfsensemble/12zGFSEnsembles500mbHeightAnomalyNH240.gif
Een Modelbeoordeling kan je trouwens hier vinden
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/fxus06.html
6-10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR NOV 23 - 27 2010
TODAYS ENSEMBLE MEAN AND OPERATIONAL SOLUTIONS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE EXPECTED MEAN 500-HPA CIRCULATION PATTERN OVER NORTH AMERICA FOR THE 6-10
DAY PERIOD. THE MODELS HAVE COME INTO NOTICEABLY BETTER AGREEMENT TODAY, COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. A GENERAL MODEL CONSENSUS PREDICTS A POSITIVELY TILTED
TROUGH EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL CANADA SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN U.S.
PLAINS AND ROCKIES, CENTRAL BASIN AND CALIFORNIA, AND A LOW AMPLITUDE RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEAST CONUS. IN ADDITION, THE CONSENSUS INDICATES A TROUGH
EXTENDING EASTWARD AND SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE CANADIAN MARITIMES INTO THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC, AND A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED BLOCKING RIDGE ACROSS GREENLAND AND
NEARBY ENVIRONS. IN THE ALASKA SECTOR, MOST SOLUTIONS PREDICT A TROUGH OVER WESTERN ALASKA, AND A RIDGE OVER EASTERN ALASKA, THOUGH THE 00Z CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEAN PREDICTS A RIDGE OVER THE BERING SEA AND A TROUGH OVER MAINLAND ALASKA.
En kaart van EC
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ecmwfens/12zECMWFENS500mbHeightAnomalyNH240.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfsensemble/12zGFSEnsembles500mbHeightAnomalyNH240.gif
„Et nul ne se connait tant qu'il n'a pas souffert, „C'est une dure loi, mais une loi suprème, „Vieille comme le monde et la fatalité, „Qu'l nous faut du malheur regevoir le baptéme, ~Et qu'a ce triste prix tout doit étre acheté. „Les moissons pour murir out besoin de rosée, „Pour vivre et pour sentir l'homme a besoin de pleura, „La joie a pour symbole une plante brisée, „Humide encore de pluie et couverte de fleurs."
