EARLIER IN THE PERIOD THE 00Z GFS IS STRONGER THAN OTHER SOLNS WITH ENERGY ROUNDING THE ERN PAC RIDGE DAYS 3-4 SUN-MON. THIS LEADS THE GFS TO BE FLATTER THAN MOST OTHER SOLNS INCLUDING THE
GEFS/ECMWF MEANS WITH FLOW OVER THE WEST INTO THE SRN PLAINS AND A GREATER THAN CONSENSUS SEWD EXTENT OF TROFFING OVER THE ERN CONUS/WRN ATLC TUE-WED. THE 00Z ECMWF AND 00Z GEFS/12Z ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEANS AGAIN PROVIDE A REASONABLE SOLN TO LEAN AWAY FROM
QUESTIONABLE ASPECTS OF THE 00Z GFS.
The GFS 12hrs run is quite similar in terms of what it does with the eastern USA so I really wouldn't lose too much sleep over this operational run.
Quote selectie