Some better news from NOAA upstream if you don't want the GFS to verify.
USED THE 00Z/11 ECMWF FOR THE PRELIMINARY FRONTS AND PRESSURES FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7. THE ECMWF HAS REASONABLE SUPPORT FROM THE GEM GLOBAL THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF DAY 3 OFF THE
NORTHWEST COAST...WHERE THE GEM GLOBAL IS ABOUT 12 HOURS FASTER WITH THE MATURATION OF THE CYCLONE SPINNING UP. THE UKMET IS ALSO FAIRLY WELL CLUSTERED WITH THE EC AND GEM...WITH THE GFS THE ODD
MODEL OUT WITH THE TIMING AND TRACK OF THE MAJOR SYNOPTIC WAVES.
The key part of any future output is whether we see trough disruption around the 120hrs mark.
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