En 15% Kans op onweer voor no nederland.
"Update became necessary due to an augmented severe wind gust risk until 15 Z. Latest remote sensing data reveals a gradually consolidating depression over the North Sea with a well developed dry slot in progress. Back-bent occlusion already has first signs of banded structures and latest high resolution models now also agree fairly well in a more solid line of convection, crossing the level 1 rapidly towards the east. Severe wind gusts will be the primary risk. Maximized directional shear at lowest 1 km will be somewhat displaced to the south, however enough overlap in speed/directional shear exists for an isolated tornado event. Overall risk gradually diminishes over NE-Germany, as CAPE vanishes."
"Update became necessary due to an augmented severe wind gust risk until 15 Z. Latest remote sensing data reveals a gradually consolidating depression over the North Sea with a well developed dry slot in progress. Back-bent occlusion already has first signs of banded structures and latest high resolution models now also agree fairly well in a more solid line of convection, crossing the level 1 rapidly towards the east. Severe wind gusts will be the primary risk. Maximized directional shear at lowest 1 km will be somewhat displaced to the south, however enough overlap in speed/directional shear exists for an isolated tornado event. Overall risk gradually diminishes over NE-Germany, as CAPE vanishes."
