Hurricane Hillary (East Pacific) nu al Cat4

HILARY HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY. THE SATELLITE APPEARANCE OF THE CYCLONE IS QUITE IMPRESSIVE...WITH THE HURRICANE MAINTAINING A WELL-DEFINED 10 N MI WIDE EYE AND A RATHER SYMMETRIC CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST SURROUNDED BY A THICK RING OF VERY COLD CLOUD TOPS. DVORAK T-NUMBERS FROM TAFB AND SAB AT 0600 UTC WERE 6.5 AND SUPPORT AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 125 KT. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE IN THE SHORT TERM AS HILARY REMAINS IN A NEARLY IDEAL ENVIRONMENT OF LIGHT SHEAR AND OVER VERY WARM WATERS. HOWEVER... EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLES...WHICH ARE NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE TO TIME...ARE LIKELY TO INFLUENCE THE INTENSITY WITHIN A DAY OR SO. ONLY A SLOW DECREASE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS WATERS ONLY GRADUALLY COOL AND THE SHEAR REMAINS FAIRLY LOW. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE AND IS IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE VARIOUS INTENSITY CONSENSUS AIDS.