DURING WED-THU GUIDANCE IS STILL HAVING DIFFICULTIES IN RESOLVING THE EVOLUTION OF A SHRTWV FCST TO CROSS THE ERN HALF OF THE CONUS.
Just a few things pulled out of the NOAA discussions which will effect the pattern in Europe.
ERN PAC/WRN
NOAM DETAILS BECOME LESS CERTAIN BY DAYS 5-7 FRI-SUN... WHICH IN TURN LEADS TO QUESTION MARKS WITH DOWNSTREAM FLOW.
Full discussions here:
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/preepd/preepd.html
The ECM relies on more amplification upstream to cut that low se'wards, earlier the phasing of that shortwave into the main Canadian troughing will effect how much of a ridge develops in the Atlantic, until theres agreement on them then all the output is liable to chop and change.
Just a few things pulled out of the NOAA discussions which will effect the pattern in Europe.
ERN PAC/WRN
NOAM DETAILS BECOME LESS CERTAIN BY DAYS 5-7 FRI-SUN... WHICH IN TURN LEADS TO QUESTION MARKS WITH DOWNSTREAM FLOW.
Full discussions here:
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/preepd/preepd.html
The ECM relies on more amplification upstream to cut that low se'wards, earlier the phasing of that shortwave into the main Canadian troughing will effect how much of a ridge develops in the Atlantic, until theres agreement on them then all the output is liable to chop and change.
„Et nul ne se connait tant qu'il n'a pas souffert, „C'est une dure loi, mais une loi suprème, „Vieille comme le monde et la fatalité, „Qu'l nous faut du malheur regevoir le baptéme, ~Et qu'a ce triste prix tout doit étre acheté. „Les moissons pour murir out besoin de rosée, „Pour vivre et pour sentir l'homme a besoin de pleura, „La joie a pour symbole une plante brisée, „Humide encore de pluie et couverte de fleurs."
