Zijn inschatting is vooral niet naar de opers te kijken. Vooral naar ENS kijken. AO wordt erg negatief. Scandinavisch hoog wordt op termijn vervangen door een trog. Sterk hogedrukgebied boven het midden van de Atlantische Oceaan.
I would steer clear of all operational output at the moment, chaos reigns with an attempt to break down a cold block and then throw in a possible pattern change in the offing within 10-15 days. Stick with your ensemble means..
AO becoming very negative manifested in an Arctic High.
Scandinavian ridge being replaced by a mean trough solution as a strong ridge develops in the mid Atlantic (maybe a touch progressive with the transfer and I suspect the ridge to our NE won't want to go quietly.
Europe remains in the freezer, UK and Ireland on the fringe but probably joining in the cold fun as the trough begins to fully develop and back west. That's after the growing potential for something white this weekend.
http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/72397-model-output-discussion-30th-jan/page__st__360__p__2233439#entry2233439
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