...Ireland, UK, Benelux, NE-France and Germany ...
A well structured upper trough enters the highlighted area from the NW with 500 hPa temperature dropping to less than -30 °C atop marginal BL moisture. Hence, a strong diurnal convection cycle is expected with weak shear and SBCAPE up to 500 J/kg. Marginal hail and strong wind gusts accompany stronger storms with peak activity over Benelux, UK and far W-Germany. Would not be surprised to receive an isolated tornado report in the 50-% thunderstorm area with augmented LL CAPE build-up and weak background shear.
A well structured upper trough enters the highlighted area from the NW with 500 hPa temperature dropping to less than -30 °C atop marginal BL moisture. Hence, a strong diurnal convection cycle is expected with weak shear and SBCAPE up to 500 J/kg. Marginal hail and strong wind gusts accompany stronger storms with peak activity over Benelux, UK and far W-Germany. Would not be surprised to receive an isolated tornado report in the 50-% thunderstorm area with augmented LL CAPE build-up and weak background shear.
Kunt u bliksemflitsen sturen, zodat zij gaan, en tegen u zeggen: Zie, hier zijn wij? (Job 38) www.convectiveweather.blogspot.com
, eindelijk is het zover.