Bericht van Matt Hugo:
Just a quick one and to continue to wet the appetite, but the monthly update of the EUROSIP (some info on it here -
http://t3projects.zmaw.de/uploads/media/TStockdale.pdf seasonal model for October which combines the ECMWF, Met Office and MeteoFrance data, does signal higher pressure to the N and NW of the UK as a +ve pressure anom throughout D/J/F. It isn't a strong signal, but compared with the ECMWF seasonal it is totally different and supports a far more blocked pattern to the N and NW of the UK in particular throughout the winter. The average temperature for the UK is approx 0.5C to 1C below average according to this model as well, but I would take that with a decent pinch of salt.
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