Given support and broad agreement now between UKMO-GM, EC & ARPEGE (albeit the latter with more complex low, structurally), UKMO consider the GFS solution re this deep S England low development as unlikely. Hence our briefings this morning are to emphasize forecast change to the story in this respect over past 24hrs, with just small potential for the GFS solution to be manifested Fri-Sat. We shall see...
http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/74817-model-output-discussion-2610-2012/page__st__200#entry2393519
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