Vloedgolf mogelijk tot 18 voet (5 meter)....
.. Storm surge flood and storm tide impacts...
the center of Ivan is expected to track over Mobile Bay tonight.
This will cause a storm surge of 8 to 10 feet... at a minimum.
However... if Ivan's track were to shift even slightly further to the
west... (say over Mobile county)... the storm surge could be in the 16
to 18 feet in the north end of the Bay. The latter figure includes
the fact that tides are currently running between 1 and 2 feet above
normal. Also given the current track... The Fort Morgan peninsula
... Gulf Shores and Orange Beach will share in the 8 to 10 feet surge
given the fact that they are to the east of the track. With regard
to Escambia Bay... a general 4 to 6 feet Worth of surge is likely to
occur... except for around 8 feet in the upper end of the Bay.
Significant but lesser flooding will occur along the northwest
Florida coastline between Pensacola and Destin.
Remember... when tide levels rise to 3 feet... The Causeway and the
west end of Dauphin Island will begin to flood. Tide heights of 3
to 4 feet will also flood the Road leading to Fort Pickens on
Pensacola Beach in Escambia County. Water levels with Hurricane Ivan
will likely be equal to or greater than those experienced in
hurricane Frederic in 1979.
... Wind impacts...
the current forecast has Mobile and Baldwin counties of Alabama in a
prolonged period of hurricane force winds of 75 mph or more... with
peak winds of 130 to 140 mph possible near the coast when Ivan makes
landfall early Thursday morning. This will result in extreme damage
to structures near the coast and extensive damage further
inland... especially to Mobile homes.
Quote selectie