Eerder dan ik verwacht had, lijkt UKMO aan te geven dat verandering er aan lijkt te komen. Alle voorzichtigheid op z´n plek. Geen tijd voor polonaise (anders dan door Champagne veroorzaakt)
So far as UKMO are concerned, the suggestion of a broadscale change of type & cooling trend around & after day 15 remains their MR view. They note the "very marked" EC signal for a SSW event / reversal of zonal flow and the effects of this likely becoming manifested on the ground around mid-month, albeit current model signals for this remain somewhat tenuous/elusive. This isn't surprising in the turnaround circumstances. However, with a number of ENS members hinting at the cooler type it's the preferred solution from Exeter presently albeit with many obvious current uncertainties.
http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/75412-winter-model-discussion-cold-hunting-12z-301212/page__st__140#entry2460172
PS met dank aan Leviathan, Fergieweather werkt bij MetOffice! Dus geen faker.
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