-Wie is fergieweather? Is hij betrouwbaar?
-Wie is zijn senior collega, waar werkt deze en is dit gecontroleerd?
-Is het niet zo dat alle output vanaf medio/eind volgende week sowieso buiten de betrouwbare termijn valt?
Wat is nu de toegevoegde waarde van dit bericht en waarom is je antwoord Nee?
fergieweather op netweaver zegt
A senior colleague literally just reiterated this key, key point: "No NWP will get a grip until SSW effects feed lower-down into model synthesis." Ignore -in effective sense of preventing any coronary - all GFS output post around mid-late next week. UKMO model equally showing considerable inter-run flux at longer reaches too (it goes to T+168 internally) and all of this is expected / symptomatic / characteristic of how they struggle with the complex dynamics of what is still at an incipient phase. Nothing, as yet, is offering anything surprising nor unexpected. So, please: NO MORE posts bemoaning any lack of profound cold showing at longer range of GFS, or EC, or whatever. It is all - stress ALL - considered effectively unreliable. Period.
-Wie is zijn senior collega, waar werkt deze en is dit gecontroleerd?
-Is het niet zo dat alle output vanaf medio/eind volgende week sowieso buiten de betrouwbare termijn valt?
Wat is nu de toegevoegde waarde van dit bericht en waarom is je antwoord Nee?
fergieweather op netweaver zegt
A senior colleague literally just reiterated this key, key point: "No NWP will get a grip until SSW effects feed lower-down into model synthesis." Ignore -in effective sense of preventing any coronary - all GFS output post around mid-late next week. UKMO model equally showing considerable inter-run flux at longer reaches too (it goes to T+168 internally) and all of this is expected / symptomatic / characteristic of how they struggle with the complex dynamics of what is still at an incipient phase. Nothing, as yet, is offering anything surprising nor unexpected. So, please: NO MORE posts bemoaning any lack of profound cold showing at longer range of GFS, or EC, or whatever. It is all - stress ALL - considered effectively unreliable. Period.
