Het 'probleem' zit hem in de Groenland blocking..
Bericht van: Wietse (Groningen) , 09-01-2013 23:31
Aldus de meteorologen van de Amerikaanse weerdienst. Het model (gebaseerd op de 06z) is inconsistent met de overige modellen (oa EC00 ).
THE LARGEST CONSTITUENTS OF THE MANUAL BLEND WERE TODAY'S 00Z ECMWF ENSEMBLE
MEAN AND TODAY'S 06Z GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN. TODAY'S OPERATIONAL 06Z GFS RUN WAS
INCONSISTENT WITH THE OTHER MODELS OVER CONUS, AND WAS EXCLUDED FROM TODAY'S
BLEND.
En:
FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE 6-10 DAY PERIOD: AVERAGE, 3 OUT OF 5, DUE TO ONLY
FAIR MODEL AGREEMENT ON THE EXPECTED UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION PATTERN, AND
INCONSISTENT TELECONNECTION WITH THE GREENLAND BLOCKING HIGH.
[edit] FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE 8-14 DAY PERIOD IS: BELOW AVERAGE, 2 OUT OF 5, DUE
TO ONLY FAIR MODEL AGREEMENT AND INCONSISTENT TELECONNECTION WITH THE GREENLAND
BLOCKING HIGH.
THE LARGEST CONSTITUENTS OF THE MANUAL BLEND WERE TODAY'S 00Z ECMWF ENSEMBLE
MEAN AND TODAY'S 06Z GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN. TODAY'S OPERATIONAL 06Z GFS RUN WAS
INCONSISTENT WITH THE OTHER MODELS OVER CONUS, AND WAS EXCLUDED FROM TODAY'S
BLEND.
En:
FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE 6-10 DAY PERIOD: AVERAGE, 3 OUT OF 5, DUE TO ONLY
FAIR MODEL AGREEMENT ON THE EXPECTED UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION PATTERN, AND
INCONSISTENT TELECONNECTION WITH THE GREENLAND BLOCKING HIGH.
[edit] FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE 8-14 DAY PERIOD IS: BELOW AVERAGE, 2 OUT OF 5, DUE
TO ONLY FAIR MODEL AGREEMENT AND INCONSISTENT TELECONNECTION WITH THE GREENLAND
BLOCKING HIGH.
Bericht laatst bijgewerkt: 09-01-2013 23:33
