de verwachting is dat ze zeker nog wat zal aansterken voor 'landfall' en opmerkelijk in de discussietekst is dat zelfs een cat 4 niet geheel uitgesloten wordt.
Jeanne zal de vierde orkaan zijn dit seizoen dat Florida aandoet, in hoeverre dit een record is weet ik niet.
GUIDANCE NOW SUGGESTS THAT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE
FOR JEANNE TO STRENGTHEN UNTIL LANDFALL. THEREFORE...THE MAIN
RESTRAINING FACTORS FOR DEVELOPMENT ARE THE CURRENT LARGE EYE...AND
THE ABUNDANT DRY AIR SURROUNDING THE HURRICANE. SHIPS AND THE GFDL
BOTH TAKE JEANNE TO 100 KT BY LANDFALL. GIVEN THE CURRENT
TRENDS...THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL GO A LITTLE HIGHER AND CALL
FOR 105 KT. IT WOULD NOT BE A SURPRISE TO SEE JEANNE GET STRONGER
THAN THAT...AND REACHING CATEGORY FOUR STATUS IS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION. JEANNE SHOULD STEADILY WEAKEN AFTER LANDFALL...BECOMING
A DEPRESSION OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES AND EVENTUALLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL OVER THE NORTHWESTERN ATLANTIC.
FORECASTER BEVEN
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 25/0900Z 26.5N 76.2W 90 KT
12HR VT 25/1800Z 26.7N 78.2W 100 KT
24HR VT 26/0600Z 27.3N 80.3W 105 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 26/1800Z 28.6N 81.9W 75 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 27/0600Z 30.4N 82.5W 45 KT...INLAND
72HR VT 28/0600Z 34.0N 80.5W 30 KT...INLAND
96HR VT 29/0600Z 38.5N 72.5W 30 KT...OVER WATER
120HR VT 30/0600Z 43.0N 62.0W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
$$
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