Vandaag weer een verwachting van Estofex:
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2/ Another area of interest will be Western Europe, namely NW Germany, BENELUX and France. Towards the south, degree of the wind shear should increase, as 20 - 25 m/s westerly flow ovespreads Southern and Western France. However, below 500 hPa, flow will likely weaken considerably, so that 0-3 and 0-1 km bulk shear will mostly stay marginal at best. Combined with meager instability and no concentrated forcing, area does not seem to need a Level 1 attm, albeit an isolated severe wind gust report from a stronger multicell will not be impossible in this setup.
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