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WTPZ41 KNHC 241437
TCDEP1
HURRICANE AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012014
800 AM PDT SAT MAY 24 2014
An eye has been observed sporadically in infrared satellite imagery
during the past few hours, and recent microwave data has also
revealed a small pinhole eye in the 85-GHz channel and a 12-15 n mi
eye in TRMM radar data. Satellite classifications are still rising,
and Amanda is being initialized as a 65-kt hurricane based on Dvorak
estimates of T4.0 from SAB and the UW-CIMSS ADT. Amanda is
intensifying rapidly, strengthening by 35 kt over the past 24 hours.
Amanda is located over very warm water and in an environment of
light vertical wind shear, and all indications are that this period
of rapid intensification is likely to continue. The operational
SHIPS Rapid Intensification Index (RII) is indicating a 60 percent
chance of a 40-kt increase in intensity during the next 24 hours,
which is almost 15 times higher than normal.
..
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 24/1500Z 11.4N 109.9W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 25/0000Z 11.6N 110.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 25/1200Z 11.9N 110.9W 95 KT 110 MPH
36H 26/0000Z 12.4N 111.2W 100 KT 115 MPH
48H 26/1200Z 13.1N 111.3W 100 KT 115 MPH
72H 27/1200Z 15.0N 111.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
96H 28/1200Z 16.5N 111.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
120H 29/1200Z 17.5N 111.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
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