Re : Onderzoek naar langdurig geringe zonneactiviteit

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Over the second half of the 21st century, the scenario assumes a decrease in total solar irradiance of 0.12% compared to a reference Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 experiment. In Northern Hemisphere wintertime, there is a weakening of the stratospheric westerly jet by up to ?3–4?m?s?1, with the largest changes occurring in January–February. This is accompanied by a deepening of the Aleutian Low at the surface and an increase in blocking over Northern Europe and the North Pacific. (...) The results show that a large decline in solar activity over the 21st century could have important impacts on the stratosphere and regional surface climate.