Ja, volgens Judah Cohen
http://www.aer.com/science-research/climate-weather/arctic-oscillation
Alleen is het nog ten zeerste af te wachten of wij een haal meekrijgen ...
Verwachting uit je link:
The models are predicting for the PV to remain over the northern North Atlantic while geopotential heights remain high across the North Pacific side of the Arctic in the stratosphere. This should result in a tropospheric reflection of strong positive geopotential heights across the North Pacific of the Arctic. Strong geopotential height rises across part or all of the Arctic basin favors lower geopotential heights across Eastern Siberia, eastern North America and Northern Europe. Lowering geopotential heights in eastern North America and East Asia coupled with ridging to the west will promote a northerly flow of cold air for those regions. Across Europe the predicted position of the PV between Iceland and Scandinavia will likely help anchor deep low geopotential heights just north of Europe. Counterclockwise flow around the low geopotential height center will help to maintain a mild westerly flow of air across Europe. However, the models are more consistently predicting a PV split with one piece of the PV over Eastern Siberia and the other piece remaining near northern Europe. If the PV north of Europe sinks further south this should increase the probability of more sustained cold across Europe.
Let op de laatste zin op alle onzekerheden en niet gedefinieerde grootheden die ingebouwd zitten.
If the PV north of Europe sinks further south this should increase the probability of more sustained cold across Europe.
