Die level 2 is niet voor het huidige MCS, maar voor een eventuele lading nieuwe buien later op de dag in dit gebied, volgens de uitleg op de Estofex website.
"A vigorous MCS is ongoing over W Germany at 03Z, moving towards Netherlands and Belgium with 35 kts mid level winds and 900 J/kg CAPE in 00Z Meiningen sounding. It seems quite well placed by GFS 18Z and other models. It may persist into the present forecast or fall apart with stratiform precipitation carrying SW-ward into Belgium and France. It may affect the positioning of the frontal convergence zone and convective precipitation. GFS predicts a continuous flow of CAPE into the occlusion stalled near the DE/NL/BE border, and a PV feature turning towards this zone from S Germany during the afternoon and evening, likely producing a second round of storms focused within the level 2 area, but exact region may be shifted. In this zone storms will move slowly and can offload excessive precipitation."
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