Zowel EC46 als GLOSEA5 minder kans dan normaal op zonaliteit
Bericht van: sebastiaan (bussum) , 21-10-2016 10:21
In de eerste helft van november. Dan weten jullie dat vast 
Akin to the EC update of Monday, there's a signal in the latest run for strong mid-Atlantic ridging during 1st week of Nov, with resultant colder NW flow. This is also favoured in latest GloSea5. Both models suggest a blocked scenario most likely 1st half of Nov, albeit with uncertainty/spread in exactly how this manifests (respective H/L positioning). Either way, zonality looks less likely than average through first half of the month. -> Bron Ian Fergusson
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The latest EC32 continues to highlight good consistency in signaling retrogression and with a +ve pressure anom developing to the NW of the UK, something which, I believe, GloSea is signaling too. This will be an interesting one to follow as, in theory, we should be looking for a meridional pattern as a result into early November with a potential for N or NW'ly outbreaks, clearly nothing 'special' for this time of year, but would bring some colder weather into early November - then cue the "Ice in November to bear a duck, the rest of the winter will be slush and muck" comments though!
Good old Matt Hugo. EC32 pionier
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Akin to the EC update of Monday, there's a signal in the latest run for strong mid-Atlantic ridging during 1st week of Nov, with resultant colder NW flow. This is also favoured in latest GloSea5. Both models suggest a blocked scenario most likely 1st half of Nov, albeit with uncertainty/spread in exactly how this manifests (respective H/L positioning). Either way, zonality looks less likely than average through first half of the month. -> Bron Ian Fergusson
&
The latest EC32 continues to highlight good consistency in signaling retrogression and with a +ve pressure anom developing to the NW of the UK, something which, I believe, GloSea is signaling too. This will be an interesting one to follow as, in theory, we should be looking for a meridional pattern as a result into early November with a potential for N or NW'ly outbreaks, clearly nothing 'special' for this time of year, but would bring some colder weather into early November - then cue the "Ice in November to bear a duck, the rest of the winter will be slush and muck" comments though!
Good old Matt Hugo. EC32 pionier
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Bericht laatst bijgewerkt: 21-10-2016 10:22
„Et nul ne se connait tant qu'il n'a pas souffert, „C'est une dure loi, mais une loi suprème, „Vieille comme le monde et la fatalité, „Qu'l nous faut du malheur regevoir le baptéme, ~Et qu'a ce triste prix tout doit étre acheté. „Les moissons pour murir out besoin de rosée, „Pour vivre et pour sentir l'homme a besoin de pleura, „La joie a pour symbole une plante brisée, „Humide encore de pluie et couverte de fleurs."