nu 110 km/hr, zal morgen weer een orkaan zijn.
De koers blijft onzeker omdat EC in dit geval bijdraait..
Florence is creeping westward (270 degrees) at 4 kt, trapped between high pressure to its northeast and southwest. A different blocking ridge is expected to develop north and northeast of Bermuda over the next few days, causing Florence to accelerate toward the west-northwest and northwest between days 3-5. There have been some notable shifts in the model guidance on this cycle, with the ECMWF model swinging to the northeast closer to the GFS, and the HWRF model swinging farther south along the southern edge of the guidance envelope. Despite this change in the deterministic ECMWF run, its individual ensemble members are still showing a significant spread of solutions from just north of the Bahamas to offshore the coast of North Carolina by day 5. Because of this spread, the updated NHC track forecast largely maintains continuity and remains close to the TVCN multi-model consensus. And despite the ECMWF's shift, this track prediction remains north of the HCCA and FSSE solutions.