van forecaster Blake:
Sadly, the forecast agreement from the previous advisory has disintegrated, with all of the GFS-based guidance now indicating a track more toward Europe, while the ECMWF/UKMET send Leslie in the exact opposite direction toward the east-central Atlantic. I clearly drew the small straw in having to make Leslie's forecast tonight because this situation is resulting in one of the largest guidance spreads I have seen, about 1000 miles on day 3 and over 2000 miles at day 5.