zou ik zo zeggen, of waar opstuwing tegen de bergen zal plaatsvinden.
Met een beetje geluk ook kansen op waterhozen?
Estofex level 1 is vooral voor zware neerslag.
A level 1 was issued for the western and central Mediterranean mainly for excessive precipitation and to a lesser extent for tornadoes.
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Western and central Mediterranean
Main convective potential is expected across the central and western Mediterranean. Main severe potential is due to excessive rain along the frontal boundary ahead of ex-LESLIE that moves towards Sardinia and Corsica and southern France. High precipitable water and skinny CAPE profiles especially in the northern portions in addition to a storm motion parallel to the frontal boundary, strong low-level shear supporting back-building and a long fetch across the Mediterranean Sea indicate a potential of heavy rain. Main limiting factor is the weak lapse rate that reduces CAPE and results in warm equilibrium levels. However, embedded storms are expected embedded in stratiform rain and pose a threat of flash flooding. The threat will slowly progress eastwards across the Mediterranean, whereas is remains almost stationary over southern France, though slowly decreasing. A level 1 was issued due to the partly stratiform nature of precipitation. The overall threat of flash floods can be widespread, though. Next to excessive rain, tornadoes are not ruled out given strong low-level vertical wind shear that overlaps with low-level buoyancy in particular near the coasts.