Re: Heftig geval

Als ik zo de beelden bekijk zou de huidige officiele intensiteit wel eens niet genoeg recht doen aan de werkelijke intensiteit.

Klein oog, intense diepe convenctie. Ik ben benieuwd.....

SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 20W (HAGIBIS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TY 20W IS UNDERGOING EXTREME
RAPID INTENSIFICATION (ERI: 55KTS IN 24HRS) FROM 50KTS AT 060600Z TO 
THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF 130 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS A COMPACT AND SHARPLY-OUTLINED EYEWALL WITH A
PINHOLE 5NM EYE. THE MSI LOOP ALSO SHOWS THE SPIRAL RAIN BANDS ARE
WRAPPING VERY TIGHTLY TOWARD THE EYEWALL RESULTING IN A
SUPER-CONDENSE AND SYMMETRIC SYSTEM. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES
RADIAL OUTFLOW (PLUS VERY STRONG EQUATORWARD AND EASTWARD BIASES)
WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). SST VALUES OF 29-30C AND HIGH
OCEAN HEAT CONTENT VALUES ALSO SUPPORT THE ERI.

STY 20W CONTINUES TO UNDERGO ERI, THEREFORE, THE FORECAST
INTENSITIES HAVE AGAIN BEEN ADJUSTED SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER THAN THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST.

STY 20W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH TAU 72 UNDER
THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE STR. THE HIGHLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST AND PROMOTE FURTHER RI TO A PEAK
OF 150KTS (POSSIBLY HIGHER) AROUND TAU 24 WHEN THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW
IS FURTHER ENHANCED BY INITIAL EXPOSURE TO THE PREVAILING WESTERLIES
AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGGING INTO JAPAN.