Ik las net een nieuwe winterverwachting, met de nieuwste inzichten op dit moment. Onder andere hoe de La Nina zich gedraagt etc. De belangrijkste conclusie voor hen is:
https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/winter-season-2020-2021-final-weather-forecast-fa/
Europe is expected to have warmer than average temperatures over most of the continent. This, however, does not mean that there will be no cold fronts and colder days. It just implies that cold fronts and colder air mass intrusions will be less frequent over the continent. The exception is western Europe, where we have seen can expect some cooler North Atlantic airmass and occasional colder air transports from the north.
But the models do currently leave room open for the expansion of the North Atlantic high-pressure system. So there is room for colder days if the ridge would extend further north, as the intense pattern over North America fluctuates, also influencing the Atlantic development.
Normal to wetter conditions are expected over the mainland, in the prevailing westerly airflow. The British Isles and Scandinavia could have more unsettled winter, as the jet stream positions over these regions, bringing behind more stormy weather.