Gisteren geen. EC-oper consistent. Control daarvan mee. ICON. GFS6-oper. Het bouwt zich op.
1: The ECM does have a bias towards taking too long to shift these sorts of upper lows out of the way, indeed the 00z never exactly succeds as it takes so long it ends up getting absorbed by the LP to the west. Thats nearing worst case scenario levels. Not quite, but getting close.
2: However the OP runs of most of the models have made a definate nod of the hat towards the ECM between 96-120hrs. On its own as long as it stops there, its no major problem. BUT we've seen countless times that once the models start making a nod, it rarely ends wih just one run and normally becomes a trend that extends and strengthens within in the suite.
The other worry is the models have done something like this earlier in the winter and advertised a cold spell, but in the end what happened.
A limpet low, just like the ECM is showing...
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