Op https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/zahrahirji/pacific-northwest-heat-wave-climate-change lezen we onder meer:
“We immediately ran into a problem,” said Geert Jan van Oldenborgh of the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute. Because the observed temperatures were far above what scientists had ever seen before, or even thought possible, the models initially couldn’t replicate them.
Ultimately, they adjusted the models to account for such dramatic events, estimating that the peak of the heat wave was a 1-in-1,000-year event made at least 150 times more likely because of climate change. Climate change also made the heat wave hotter — an estimated 3.6 degrees higher than if it had occurred before the Industrial Revolution. And they concluded that such events will continue to get hotter and become more frequent if climate change continues on its current path.
The scientists stressed that they still did not understand exactly how such high temperatures could be physically created, making it difficult to know how likely another similar heat wave could be.
“Everyone is just worried about the implications of this event,” said van Oldenborgh. “This is something that nobody saw coming, that nobody thought possible. And we feel we do not understand heat waves as well as we thought we did. And the big question for many people is, could this happen in other places?”
Van Oldenborgh and his colleagues said they will keep studying the issue until they get an answer. “At the moment, we just don’t know,” he said. “We need to continue with this analysis.”
Ben het niet eens met zijn statement "This is something that nobody saw coming, that nobody thought possible." eehm, ahum, sorry, maar velen zagen dit wel degelijk aankomen, waaronder ons aller Reinout. Bovendien, en dit las ik ook al in een comment op buzzfeed;
The reason scientists are shocked is that their models failed to predict the extreme heat & fire - because NONE of them include the fact that trees have been dying for decades from absorbing toxic air pollution. Healthy trees evapotranspirate, they make rain and cool the air - but forests are in terminal decline from widespread background levels of tropospheric ozone. WAKE UP climate scientists! There is more affecting weather than CO2 and greenhouse gases. The vegetative sink is failing. https://youtu.be/sn1Xy_j48k0
en
Plus, many seem to forget that earth *loses* 15 billion trees each year (and that's still a modest estimate), while only 5 billion new trees are gained (replenished/planted), a net loss of 10 billion trees per year. Of which the vast majority is intentional (by humans). That means over 1 million trees are disappearing from earth every hour, 24/7/365. No model seems to have incorporated that. Many scientists *already* predicted this, but as this goes, 'royal' institutions usually have hopium blinders on, because they want to believe their monetary system stays in business.
Oei. Laten we hopen dat Geert-Jan hier mee leest?