The hurricane is expected to maintain its current intensity until
the core reaches the coast later today. After landfall, rapid
weakening is forecast, and Agatha will likely dissipate over
the rugged terrain of southeastern Mexico by late Tuesday.
However, the global models suggest that the mid-level remnants will
merge with a broader low pressure system, which is being monitored
for potential development in the Atlantic basin.
Key Messages:
1. Extremely dangerous coastal flooding from storm surge,
accompanied by large and destructive waves, is expected near and
to the east of where Agatha makes landfall.
2. Life-threatening hurricane-force winds are expected in portions
of the hurricane warning area in Oaxaca, Mexico, this afternoon
and continuing through this evening. Tropical storm conditions
have already begun along the coast of Oaxaca and will spread
eastward within the warning area through tonight.
3. Heavy rains associated with Agatha will continue over portions of
southern Mexico through Tuesday. This will pose a threat of
life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 30/1500Z 15.3N 97.1W 95 KT 110 MPH
12H 31/0000Z 15.9N 96.2W 75 KT 85 MPH...INLAND
24H 31/1200Z 16.8N 95.1W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
36H 01/0000Z 17.6N 94.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
48H 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Quote selectie