...Benelux ... NW Germany ... N British Isles...
In the wake of the cold front ... moderately deep polar air will overspread central Europe. Models agree that top of mixed layer will be on the order of 500 hPa ... sufficient for scattered rain showers and possibly an isolated CG or two ... but insufficient for a large TSTM area. Convection should be deepest ahead of vort maxima affecting Benelux and N Germany as well as the N British isles in the early evening hours ... where TSTM coverage may be maximized. 0-1 km shear over Benelux and N Germany should exceed 10 m/s ... and if long-lived updrafts manage to form ... an isolated severe TSTM event including a brief tornado cannot be ruled out. Allover threat is too low for a categorical risk ATTM.
Ziet er heel niet slecht uit. Groeten Bas
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