Het is ongelooflijk dat de Oper van GFS hier al mee kwam in de 12z run van 27 juni.
Daarna was het niet iedere run raak of even warm/heet, maar de verandering van het patroon en het dominant worden van het Azorenhoog vanaf 5 a 6 juli zit sindsdien vrij consequent in de uitvoer (zonder al te veel ondersteuning in het ensemble overigens).
Inmiddels begin ook e.e.a. zichtbaar te worden bij ECMWF.
Zou het dan toch?
Bron: https://www.wetterzentrale.de
Run: 12z
Uitlezing: OP
Datum: 02-07-22
Plaats: De Bilt (578 / 394)
Uren vooruit | Datum | Tijdstip | Min. cat. | Max. cat.:
+0 | 02-07-22 | 12z | 21 | 24
+3 | 02-07-22 | 15z | 24 | 27
+6 | 02-07-22 | 18z | 21 | 24
+9 | 02-07-22 | 21z | 15 | 18
+12 | 03-07-22 | 00z | 12 | 15
+15 | 03-07-22 | 03z | 15 | 18
+18 | 03-07-22 | 06z | 15 | 18
+21 | 03-07-22 | 09z | 18 | 21
+24 | 03-07-22 | 12z | 18 | 21
+27 | 03-07-22 | 15z | 18 | 21
+30 | 03-07-22 | 18z | 18 | 21
+33 | 03-07-22 | 21z | 12 | 15 || 03-07-22 - Tn: 12 | 15 , Tx: 18 | 21
+36 | 04-07-22 | 00z | 9 | 12 *(x+1)
+39 | 04-07-22 | 03z | 9 | 12
+42 | 04-07-22 | 06z | 15 | 18
+45 | 04-07-22 | 09z | 18 | 21
+48 | 04-07-22 | 12z | 21 | 24
+51 | 04-07-22 | 15z | 21 | 24
+54 | 04-07-22 | 18z | 18 | 21
+57 | 04-07-22 | 21z | 12 | 15 || 04-07-22 - Tn: 9 | 12 , Tx: 21 | 24
+60 | 05-07-22 | 00z | 12 | 15
+63 | 05-07-22 | 03z | 9 | 12
+66 | 05-07-22 | 06z | 15 | 18
+69 | 05-07-22 | 09z | 18 | 21
+72 | 05-07-22 | 12z | 18 | 21
+75 | 05-07-22 | 15z | 18 | 21
+78 | 05-07-22 | 18z | 15 | 18
+81 | 05-07-22 | 21z | 9 | 12 || 05-07-22 - Tn: 9 | 12 , Tx: 18 | 21
+84 | 06-07-22 | 00z | 9 | 12
+87 | 06-07-22 | 03z | 9 | 12
+90 | 06-07-22 | 06z | 12 | 15
+93 | 06-07-22 | 09z | 18 | 21
+96 | 06-07-22 | 12z | 18 | 21
+99 | 06-07-22 | 15z | 18 | 21
+102 | 06-07-22 | 18z | 18 | 21
+105 | 06-07-22 | 21z | 15 | 18 || 06-07-22 - Tn: 9 | 12 , Tx: 18 | 21
+108 | 07-07-22 | 00z | 15 | 18
+111 | 07-07-22 | 03z | 15 | 18
+114 | 07-07-22 | 06z | 15 | 18
+117 | 07-07-22 | 09z | 18 | 21
+120 | 07-07-22 | 12z | 21 | 24
+123 | 07-07-22 | 15z | 18 | 21
+126 | 07-07-22 | 18z | 18 | 21
+129 | 07-07-22 | 21z | 12 | 15 || 07-07-22 - Tn: 12 | 15 , Tx: 21 | 24
+132 | 08-07-22 | 00z | 12 | 15
+135 | 08-07-22 | 03z | 12 | 15
+138 | 08-07-22 | 06z | 15 | 18
+141 | 08-07-22 | 09z | 21 | 24
+144 | 08-07-22 | 12z | 21 | 24
+147 | 08-07-22 | 15z | 21 | 24
+150 | 08-07-22 | 18z | 18 | 21
+153 | 08-07-22 | 21z | 12 | 15 || 08-07-22 - Tn: 12 | 15 , Tx: 21 | 24
+156 | 09-07-22 | 00z | 12 | 15
+159 | 09-07-22 | 03z | 15 | 18
+162 | 09-07-22 | 06z | 15 | 18
+165 | 09-07-22 | 09z | 18 | 21
+168 | 09-07-22 | 12z | 21 | 24
+171 | 09-07-22 | 15z | 21 | 24
+174 | 09-07-22 | 18z | 18 | 21
+177 | 09-07-22 | 21z | 15 | 18 || 09-07-22 - Tn: 12 | 15 , Tx: 21 | 24
+180 | 10-07-22 | 00z | 9 | 12 *(x+1)
+183 | 10-07-22 | 03z | 9 | 12
+186 | 10-07-22 | 06z | 12 | 15
+189 | 10-07-22 | 09z | 18 | 21
+192 | 10-07-22 | 12z | 21 | 24
+195 | 10-07-22 | 15z | 21 | 24
+198 | 10-07-22 | 18z | 18 | 21
+201 | 10-07-22 | 21z | 15 | 18 || 10-07-22 - Tn: 9 | 12 , Tx: 21 | 24
+204 | 11-07-22 | 00z | 12 | 15
+207 | 11-07-22 | 03z | 12 | 15
+210 | 11-07-22 | 06z | 15 | 18
+213 | 11-07-22 | 09z | 18 | 21
+216 | 11-07-22 | 12z | 21 | 24
+219 | 11-07-22 | 15z | 21 | 24
+222 | 11-07-22 | 18z | 18 | 21
+225 | 11-07-22 | 21z | 12 | 15 || 11-07-22 - Tn: 12 | 15 , Tx: 21 | 24
+228 | 12-07-22 | 00z | 12 | 15
+231 | 12-07-22 | 03z | 9 | 12 *(x+1)
+234 | 12-07-22 | 06z | 15 | 18
+237 | 12-07-22 | 09z | 18 | 21
+240 | 12-07-22 | 12z | 21 | 24
+243 | 12-07-22 | 15z | 21 | 24
+246 | 12-07-22 | 18z | 18 | 21
+249 | 12-07-22 | 21z | 15 | 18 || 12-07-22 - Tn: 9 | 12 , Tx: 21 | 24
+252 | 13-07-22 | 00z | 12 | 15
+255 | 13-07-22 | 03z | 9 | 12 *(x+1)
+258 | 13-07-22 | 06z | 15 | 18
+261 | 13-07-22 | 09z | 21 | 24
+264 | 13-07-22 | 12z | 24 | 27
+267 | 13-07-22 | 15z | 24 | 27
+270 | 13-07-22 | 18z | 21 | 24
+273 | 13-07-22 | 21z | 18 | 21 || 13-07-22 - Tn: 9 | 12 , Tx: 24 | 27
+276 | 14-07-22 | 00z | 12 | 15
+279 | 14-07-22 | 03z | 12 | 15
+282 | 14-07-22 | 06z | 15 | 18
+285 | 14-07-22 | 09z | 21 | 24
+288 | 14-07-22 | 12z | 27 | 30
+291 | 14-07-22 | 15z | 27 | 30
+294 | 14-07-22 | 18z | 24 | 27
+297 | 14-07-22 | 21z | 18 | 21 || 14-07-22 - Tn: 12 | 15 , Tx: 27 | 30
+300 | 15-07-22 | 00z | 15 | 18
+303 | 15-07-22 | 03z | 15 | 18
+306 | 15-07-22 | 06z | 18 | 21
+309 | 15-07-22 | 09z | 27 | 30
+312 | 15-07-22 | 12z | 30 | 33
+315 | 15-07-22 | 15z | 30 | 33
+318 | 15-07-22 | 18z | 27 | 30
+321 | 15-07-22 | 21z | 21 | 24 || 15-07-22 - Tn: 15 | 18 , Tx: 30 | 33
+324 | 16-07-22 | 00z | 18 | 21
+327 | 16-07-22 | 03z | 15 | 18
+330 | 16-07-22 | 06z | 21 | 24
+333 | 16-07-22 | 09z | 30 | 33
+336 | 16-07-22 | 12z | 33 | 36
+339 | 16-07-22 | 15z | 33 | 36
+342 | 16-07-22 | 18z | 33 | 36
+345 | 16-07-22 | 21z | 24 | 27 || 16-07-22 - Tn: 15 | 18 , Tx: 33 | 36
+348 | 17-07-22 | 00z | 21 | 24
+351 | 17-07-22 | 03z | 21 | 24
+354 | 17-07-22 | 06z | 24 | 27
+357 | 17-07-22 | 09z | 33 | 36
+360 | 17-07-22 | 12z | 33 | 36
+363 | 17-07-22 | 15z | 36 | 39
+366 | 17-07-22 | 18z | 33 | 36
+369 | 17-07-22 | 21z | 27 | 30 || 17-07-22 - Tn: 21 | 24 , Tx: 36 | 39
+372 | 18-07-22 | 00z | 24 | 27
+375 | 18-07-22 | 03z | 21 | 24
+378 | 18-07-22 | 06z | 21 | 24
+381 | 18-07-22 | 09z | 27 | 30
+384 | 18-07-22 | 12z | 30 | 33