European summer weather linked to North Atlantic freshwater anomalies

Bericht van: sebastiaan (bussum) , 28-02-2024 09:53 

Weather and Climate Dynamics van de European Geosciences Union

Amplified Arctic ice loss in recent decades has been linked to the increased occurrence of extreme mid-latitude weather. The underlying mechanisms remain elusive, however. One potential link occurs through the ocean as the loss of sea ice and glacial ice leads to increased freshwater fluxes into the ocean. Thus, in this study, we examine the link between North Atlantic freshwater anomalies and European summer weather. Combining a comprehensive set of observational products, we show that stronger freshwater anomalies are associated with a sharper sea surface temperature front between the subpolar and the subtropical North Atlantic in winter, an increased atmospheric instability above the sea surface temperature front, and a large-scale atmospheric circulation that induces a northward shift in the North Atlantic Current, strengthening the sea surface temperature front. In the following summer, the lower-tropospheric winds are deflected northward along the enhanced sea surface temperature front and the European coastline, forming part of a large-scale atmospheric circulation anomaly that is associated with warmer and drier weather over Europe. The identified statistical links are significant on timescales from years to decades and indicate an enhanced predictability of European summer weather at least a winter in advance, with the exact regions and amplitudes of the warm and dry weather anomalies over Europe being sensitive to the location, strength, and extent of North Atlantic freshwater anomalies in the preceding winter.

Voor de zomer:

Warmer en droger in het W van Europa.

 

Bericht laatst bijgewerkt: 28-02-2024 09:58
Zwarte, dreigende wolken worden soms uit alle hemelstreken nog door den dampkring, die ons omringt, heen gejaagd en ontbinden zich dan niet zelden in koude, somtijds met sneeuwvlokken vermengde regendroppelen of kletterenden hagel, die de ontspruitende grashalmen en de teedere bloemen, welke reeds de lagchende knopjes in den koesterenden zonneschijn ontsloten, met verwoesting dreigen; maar geen nood! achter die donkere wolken is de Lente geboren. Petronella Moens.

European summer weather linked to North Atlantic freshwater anomalies   ( 898)
sebastiaan (bussum) -- 28-02-2024 09:53
Vertaling   ( 572)
Alie (Weebosch gem Bergeijk NL) ( 37m) -- 28-02-2024 09:57
Ik kan er weinig chocola van maken   ( 284)
Frank (Doetinchem) ( 14m) -- 28-02-2024 13:10
Re: Ik kan er weinig chocola van maken   ( 230)
Peter (Wiltz -Luxemburg) ( 381m) -- 28-02-2024 14:06
Samenvatting   ( 101)
sebastiaan (bussum) -- 28-02-2024 18:16