rapid intensification is zeker mogelijk. 1e advisory net uit:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/231500.shtml

While the system is currently broad and not well organized, the 
models suggest a more well-defined center should develop during the 
next day or so. Once the system becomes better organized and 
develops an inner core, the environmental and oceanic conditions 
appear favorable for significant strengthening. In fact, the DTOPS 
statistical guidance shows a 95 percent chance of a 65-kt increase 
in intensity during the next 72 h, and the hurricane regional models 
highlight the potential for strengthening to major hurricane 
intensity. Thus, the NHC forecast shows significant strengthening 
while the system moves across the eastern Gulf of Mexico, with a 
95-kt intensity in 72 h. While this forecast is aggressive, it lies 
near or slightly below the consensus aids, and future adjustments 
may be necessary.  An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is 
scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon.