ECMWF oper nu geupdate naar 49r1

Bericht van: Rogier (Wageningen) , 12-11-2024 21:47 

Sinds de 06Z run van vanmiddag is de operationele run van het ECMWF geupdate naar versie 49r1.

Voor de weerliefhebbers het meest interessante is dat de 00Z and 12Z run nu tot 360 uur vooruit loopt ipv 240. Dus nog meer kaarten om ver vooruit te kijken 😉 De 06Z and 18Z lopen ook verder door naar +144 ipv +90.

Ik heb de scripts op wetterzentrale net geupdate naar de nieuwe tijden dus hierbij de eerste +360er:

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/nl/topkarten.php?map=1&model=ecm&var=1&run=12&time=360&lid=OP&h=0&mv=0&tr=3#mapref

Meer info over de updates:

 

https://confluence.ecmwf.int/display/FCST/Implementation+of+IFS+Cycle+49r1

The IFS Cycle 49r1, will bring major changes to the IFS model and data assimilation system, including among many others:

  • assimilation of 2m temperature observations, 
  • Land-surface model updates,
  • increased resolution and soft-recentering of the ensemble of data assimilations (EDA)  and
  • activation of the stochastically perturbed parameterisations (SPP) model uncertainty scheme in all ensemble configurations. 

Extended-range forecast will change name to sub-seasonal range forecast. This name change will be gradually implemented in the documentation.

The re-forecasts for medium and sub-seasonal forecast systems will see a change in frequency; whilst both will span the past 20 years, as before, they will now be run for fixed days of the month: 

  • medium range every four days: 1/5/9/13/17/21/25/29 (excluding 29 February)
  • sub-seasonal range every two days: 1/3/5/7/9/11/13/15/17/19/21/23/25/27/29/31 (excluding 29 February)

In IFS Cycle 49r1, HRES and the ENS control forecast become scientifically and computationally identical and both are run for 15-days at 00 UTC and 12 UTC, and 6 days at 06 UTC and 18 UTC. The superfluous ENS control forecast will be stopped in a future IFS upgrade, and the data stream currently known as HRES will become known as the “control” forecast.

From IFS Cycle 49r1 the wave model will be run on the same octahedral reduced gaussian grid as the atmospheric model, simplifying the data exchange between the two systems. Consequently the resolution of the wave model will increase to ~9km (O1280) in the medium range and ~36 km (O320) in the sub-seasonal range. With higher resolution, the wave model is better able to capture the atmospheric forcing, and details of the coastal conditions are generally better represented. The wave model will also run for 15-days at 00 UTC and 12 UTC, and for 6 days at 06 UTC and 18 UTC.
The wave spectrum continues to be discretised with 36 frequencies and 36 directions. However, to reduce the data volume, please note that in Cycle 49r1 only the first 29 frequencies will be output spanning a range from ~0.035 Hz to ~0.5 Hz.

 


ECMWF oper nu geupdate naar 49r1   ( 1981)
Rogier (Wageningen) ( 5m) -- 12-11-2024 21:47
Top Rogier!   ( 479)
Justin (noordeloos) ( -2m) -- 12-11-2024 21:50
Tja, wat is waarde na 240 hr?   ( 589)
Frank (Doetinchem) ( 14m) -- 12-11-2024 22:05
Prachtig! Maar of het ons is toevertrouwd?   ( 600)
Mark (Noordwolde, Groningen) -- 12-11-2024 22:08
Re: Prachtig! Maar of het ons is toevertrouwd?   ( 83)
Rogier (Wageningen) ( 5m) -- 13-11-2024 09:19
  Dank voor je toelichting, succes.  
Mark (Noordwolde, Groningen) -- 13-11-2024 16:02
Re: ECMWF oper nu geupdate naar 49r1   ( 247)
Guus (Drachten) -- 12-11-2024 23:42
Re: ECMWF oper nu geupdate naar 49r1   ( 195)
Ryan (Etten-Leur) -- 13-11-2024 00:22
Re: ECMWF oper nu geupdate naar 49r1   ( 95)
Rogier (Wageningen) ( 5m) -- 13-11-2024 09:17
Ik zie nog steeds tot 240 uur..   ( 109)
Jaap (Ede) ( 10m) -- 13-11-2024 08:09
Re: Ik zie nog steeds tot 240 uur..   ( 104)
Rogier (Wageningen) ( 5m) -- 13-11-2024 09:14
Re: Ik zie nog steeds tot 240 uur..   ( 89)
Jaap (Ede) ( 10m) -- 13-11-2024 09:21