000
WTNT43 KNHC 260856
TCDAT3
Hurricane Melissa Discussion Number 20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132025
500 AM EDT Sun Oct 26 2025
Melissa is in the midst of a period of extreme rapid
intensification. Its intensity has increased by 50 kt over the
past 24 hours and 35 kt over the past 12 hours. Data from the last
pass of an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft through the
eye just before 1 AM EDT indicated that maximum winds had increased
to 105 kt and the pressure had fallen to 958 mb. The eye has been
clearing out and warming since that time in infrared satellite
imagery, with the Dvorak data-T numbers from both TAFB and SAB up to
T6.0/115 kt at 2 AM EDT. The intensity is estimated to be 120 kt at
the time of this advisory based on the latest AiDT and DPRINT
estimates.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 26/0900Z 16.3N 76.3W 120 KT 140 MPH
12H 26/1800Z 16.3N 76.8W 130 KT 150 MPH
24H 27/0600Z 16.5N 77.5W 140 KT 160 MPH
36H 27/1800Z 16.8N 77.9W 140 KT 160 MPH
48H 28/0600Z 17.5N 77.7W 135 KT 155 MPH...JUST SOUTH OF JAMAICA
60H 28/1800Z 18.7N 76.8W 120 KT 140 MPH...JUST NORTH OF JAMAICA
72H 29/0600Z 20.5N 75.4W 105 KT 120 MPH...OVER SE CUBA
96H 30/0600Z 24.8N 71.6W 95 KT 110 MPH...OVER WATER
120H 31/0600Z 30.3N 66.2W 80 KT 90 MPH
$$
Forecaster Berg
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