Monday 23rd to Sunday 29th January
The week ahead will see the weather across the UK becoming increasingly settled but cold as high pressure extends across us from Europe.
There is very little rainfall forecast. Northwestern Scotland may see some early in the week but essentially it is a dry story.
The week will start with around average temperatures but the story will become increasingly chilly as the week wears on. The weather on the Continent has been extremely cold of late, and it is air from this 'pool' that the high pressure will be bringing our way. The high is also likely to bring with it extensive amounts of cloud and persistent fog. It will be a week of frosty nights and for some, particularly those stuck with thick fog, the temperatures may only crawl up a couple of degrees by day.
Monday 30th January to Sunday 5th February
The high pressure will continue to dominate this week - holding the weather settled and cold.
Temperatures are certainly forecast to stay below average. Freezing fog may become a more extensive problem and suppress the temperatures further.
Rainfall amounts still look below average. The south and east are the most likely areas to see any precipitation - and with plenty of cold air around it may be more likely to fall as snow.
Monday 6th to Sunday 19th February
Only minor changes are forecast for this fortnight. The story remains in general an unsettled and mild one with the west or southwesterly regime persisting.
There is fair amount of uncertainty in the forecast pattern for these two weeks. The most reasonable indication is that low pressure areas will start to approach the UK from the Atlantic.
Temperatures may be below average to start with but as we pick up an increasingly Atlantic influence they should recover to average values. The more mobile pattern should also afford most of us average rainfall and sunshine totals.
Monthly forecasting
Forecasting the weather beyond about a week ahead stretches even the most experienced weather forecaster. Complex numerical weather forecast models from the Met Office and the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF)are run many times for the month (and season) ahead to build up a picture of the likelihood of different weather types affecting the UK.
Ik ben benieuwd wat de 3 weken vooruitzicht morgen is !
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