Many parts of southern England have had their driest January for around ten years. Indeed parts of Kent and Surrey (along with a few other counties in the southeast) are officially suffering a winter drought.
The week ahead should bring some rain, but I suspect that these amounts will be of little use in those parched southern areas.
It is clutching at straws a little but, if we're lucky, we might get rainfall amounts approaching average values in East Anglia and the Midlands around the end of this month.
Temperatures look set to remain on the low side of average for much of what's left of this winter. Naturally, overnight frosts will remain an issue.
Monday 6th February to Sunday 12th February
This week will get off to a largely dry start, but there will be outbreaks of rain in the north at first. That rain will make its way south on Tuesday and Wednesday, which will be followed by a strengthening north-to-northwesterly wind around the middle of the week.
This will feed blustery showers across exposed northern coasts. Some of these will be wintry at times and could slip as far south as East Anglia.
It will be a mild, but dull, start to the week. Brighter skies will move in behind the rain as the weather quietens down across much of the UK towards the weekend. We could even get above average sunshine totals across parts the south and east.
Temperatures will fall away towards the weekend with a return to overnight frosts for many. There'll also be a cold wind blowing for a time towards the coastal fringes of the North Sea.
Monday 13th to 19th February
A slack south-to-southeasterly flow will keep temperatures on the low side and it could be pretty chilly for southern England in particular. Frosts are certainly likely at times.
Eastern areas could have a little rain at times with the brightest skies having the best of any sunshine.
Monday 20th February to Sunday 5th March
Cold and rather Frosty,West will probably still be best for sunshine. East Anglia, the Midlands and eastern Scotland will possibly turn rather wet at times.
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