Dat zat er al een beetje aan te komen. Het koufront is gevuld met relatief vochtige lucht, hierdoor vindt niet genoeg warmte-onttrekking plaats en zal de temperatuur in de neerslag niet ver genoeg kunnen dalen om sneeuw te krijgen. ESTOFEX spreekt zelfs over een "tong van vocht" in het koufront.
...North Sea and coastal areas...
The Netherlands may first see some shallow convection in the early hours of the forecast period, with strong buoyancies and lapse rates possible below the subsidence inversion at 800 hPa... with weak low level winds this might induce a waterspout or two.
Later in the period, instability behind the cold front may be weakly electrified. Uncertain is the level of instability at the front itself - seems that generation of a line of organized convection and thunder is quite possible due to localized forcing and a tongue of moisture, present in the GFS model. Do not expect much chance for severe weather given the low deep layer shear, and disposition of storm-relative helicity and low-level shear ahead of the front.
+ Nog even vannacht