SYNOPSIS
An Atlantic upper trough is moving into Europe, with most PVA and the jet between 42-46 N. North of the jet, modest instability will be present in the maritime airmass over France into the Benelux and Germany. The extent to which storms may form into those areas is somewhat uncertain, since the older NMM run forecasts instability more southward and eastward than the more recent GFS runs.
In the PVA/left jet exit zone a surface low deepens (12Z) and is progged by the various models to be right over N-Italy during the afternoon.
Een kansje dus nog vandaag
An Atlantic upper trough is moving into Europe, with most PVA and the jet between 42-46 N. North of the jet, modest instability will be present in the maritime airmass over France into the Benelux and Germany. The extent to which storms may form into those areas is somewhat uncertain, since the older NMM run forecasts instability more southward and eastward than the more recent GFS runs.
In the PVA/left jet exit zone a surface low deepens (12Z) and is progged by the various models to be right over N-Italy during the afternoon.
Een kansje dus nog vandaag