North-eastern France, most of Benelux, western Germany/SErn England, Netherlands, NWrn Germany
Underneath the short-wave trough center ... low-level southerly winds are extected ... advecting relatively warm and moist air mass. Given convectively mixed air mass ... CAPE will lilely develop in response to diurnal heating and showers and thunderstorms are forecast. Although DLS will be weak ... chance for severe convection is expected to be enhanced given around 10 m/s LLS and favorable veering/enhanced low-level SRH values. Mesocyclones should be possible with an enhanced threat of tornadoes given low LCL heights. To the north ... moist and unstable air mass should be present over the North Sea region. Given low-level CAPE and weak vertical wind shear ... chance for waterspouts should be enhanced from southeastern England to Netherlands and north-western Germany.
Underneath the short-wave trough center ... low-level southerly winds are extected ... advecting relatively warm and moist air mass. Given convectively mixed air mass ... CAPE will lilely develop in response to diurnal heating and showers and thunderstorms are forecast. Although DLS will be weak ... chance for severe convection is expected to be enhanced given around 10 m/s LLS and favorable veering/enhanced low-level SRH values. Mesocyclones should be possible with an enhanced threat of tornadoes given low LCL heights. To the north ... moist and unstable air mass should be present over the North Sea region. Given low-level CAPE and weak vertical wind shear ... chance for waterspouts should be enhanced from southeastern England to Netherlands and north-western Germany.
