Estofex heeft een level 1 uitstaan voor morgen voor de kans op meercellige onweersbuien dankzij de vrij hoge CAPE (1000-1500 J/Kg) en de redelijke windsnelheidsschering van 15 m/s in de onderste 3 kilometer. Zie tekst hieronder:
Benelux countries, N Germany...
East of the aforementioned frontal zone evapotranspiration below a capping inversion that has in most places not broken on Sunday, moisture has been pooling as is, for example visible in the Nancy sounding of 12 UTC. Temperatures should rise to values between 25 and 30 C during the day and 12 g/kg boundary-layer moisture should yield 1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE. Storms that are expected to initiate starting in the early afternoon. The instability and 15 m/s sfc-700 hPa shear suggest well-organized multicells and possibly a few supercells are to be expected with large hail as a main threat. A couple of severe gusts are possible, too.
Wellicht is het morgen waard om er een chase aan te wijden, aangezien de buien hoofdzakelijk thermisch getriggerd zullen worden.
Gr. Ben
Benelux countries, N Germany...
East of the aforementioned frontal zone evapotranspiration below a capping inversion that has in most places not broken on Sunday, moisture has been pooling as is, for example visible in the Nancy sounding of 12 UTC. Temperatures should rise to values between 25 and 30 C during the day and 12 g/kg boundary-layer moisture should yield 1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE. Storms that are expected to initiate starting in the early afternoon. The instability and 15 m/s sfc-700 hPa shear suggest well-organized multicells and possibly a few supercells are to be expected with large hail as a main threat. A couple of severe gusts are possible, too.
Wellicht is het morgen waard om er een chase aan te wijden, aangezien de buien hoofdzakelijk thermisch getriggerd zullen worden.
Gr. Ben
