Tropical Storm GUSTAV is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Jamaica
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 9 hours
probability for TS is 85% currently
the Cayman Islands
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 9 hours
probability for TS is 70% within 9 hours
George Town (19.3 N, 81.4 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cuba
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
Mexico
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
the United States
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Montego Bay (18.5 N, 77.9 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
Nueva Gerona (21.9 N, 82.8 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 45 hours
Pinar Del Rio (22.4 N, 83.7 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 69 hours
Havana (23.0 N, 82.4 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 69 hours
Baton Rouge (30.5 N, 91.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours
New Orleans (30.0 N, 90.1 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 93 hours
Quote selectie