Tropical Depression HAMISH is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cairns (16.9 S, 145.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Innisfail (17.5 S, 146.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Townsville (19.2 S, 146.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Bowen (20.0 S, 148.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.
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Storm Alert issued at 5 Mar, 2009 12:00 GMT
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