Die grafiek bedoelde Reinier ook!
Hier een samenvatting over hoe het er voor staat:
We know, based on the latest PIOMAS update and the 2012/2013 Winter Analysis I did a couple of weeks back, that 2013 so far looks pretty similar to 2012, except perhaps for the initial configuration, with thicker ice on the Siberian side of the Arctic instead of in the Beaufort Sea.
I can repeat one part of the Winter Analysis, as my opinion hasn't changed:
Despite a couple of differences, this melting season looks similar to last year's melting season and so it will probably beat the 2007 records. Whether it will also beat last year's records is too early to tell, as weather is still an important factor. We used to see rebounds in the Arctic whenever a record low was hit (also known as 'recovery! recovery!' on fake skeptic blogs), but I'm not sure how bouncy the Arctic is anymore.
The start is slow, just like last year. The why and whereto is explained below.
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