Er ligt daar in ieder geval serieus warm water te wachten... Gelukkig is dat niet de enige parameter die invloed heeft op de sterkte. Kan trouwens iemand eens wat meer uitleg geven (in mensentaal) over welke de voornaamste factoren zijn die een invloed hebben op de orkaankracht?
Uit Hurricane Emily Discussion Number 30:
Emily will be spending roughly 9 hours over the Yucatan...but is
likely to maintain hurricane strength during this passage. A weak
upper-level low over the Bay of Campeche may be contributing some
southwesterly shear over Emily...but global models suggest that
this upper low will move west-southwestward and weaken within 12-24
hours. This would result in an upper-tropospheric environment
conducive to strengthening. Therefore...re-intensification is
likely once the center moves back over the waters of the southern
Gulf of Mexico. Just how much Emily restrengthens is partly
dependent on the extent that the inner core is disrupted after
passing over northern Yucatan.
Forecaster Franklin
Uit Hurricane Emily Discussion Number 30:
Emily will be spending roughly 9 hours over the Yucatan...but is
likely to maintain hurricane strength during this passage. A weak
upper-level low over the Bay of Campeche may be contributing some
southwesterly shear over Emily...but global models suggest that
this upper low will move west-southwestward and weaken within 12-24
hours. This would result in an upper-tropospheric environment
conducive to strengthening. Therefore...re-intensification is
likely once the center moves back over the waters of the southern
Gulf of Mexico. Just how much Emily restrengthens is partly
dependent on the extent that the inner core is disrupted after
passing over northern Yucatan.
Forecaster Franklin
Bericht laatst bijgewerkt: 18-07-2005 11:33