Het is maar hoe je het brengt om sensatie te creëren he Jorge.

Straks wordt de Telegraaf nog wakker!
...het interview waar Hathaway dit in stelt. Zie de link:
,,There has not been a spot on the sun for at least a month and this is about the third rotation of the sun this cycle where we have not seen any sunspots at all. It is suggesting that the next cycle 24 might be a small cycle - much to my consternation! - since I’ve been predicting a big cycle. But the fact that it’s taking this long to get started and that it’s starting out so slowly are hallmark signs of a small solar cycle.
On the other hand, there are other factors I looked at that suggested solar cycle 24 ought to be a big cycle. So, I’m confused! (laughs)''
Echt zenuwachtig klinkt hij niet, maar hij is wel nuchter en merkt -terecht- op dat de ontwikkeling tot dusver opmerkelijk is. Maar nog niet meer dan dat.
Gr. Ben
En:
HAO has a model that matched the sun even before they even tried predicting with about a 98% accuracy. Then they tried prediction and showed they could get the last eight solar cycles better than any other technique. Given that, we project into the future and the next cycle is going to be big and it’s going to start late.
THAT APPEARS SO FAR TO BE WHAT’S HAPPENING.
Well, the late start is definitely there. Yeah, I can no longer claim that this is an early starting cycle. That definitely is not happening this time around.
They are still predicting a big cycle. But in their model, it ought to start late. And that’s odd because most big cycles start early.
Dikpati and Gilman are quite comfortable with what’s happening. In fact, they suggested that it would be some time in late 2008 that we’d end up coming out of minimum, so it’s all going according to their plan
En
"And once it takes off, usually it’s like popcorn popping. We’ve heard the first couple of pops (January 2008). But once it takes off, BAM!, it really takes off."
Conclusie: Hathaway erkent dat hij het mis had toen hij het model dat de voorbije 8 cycli tot 98% nauwkeurig kon voorspellen niet wilde volgen door uit te gaan van een vroege start.
Tot dusver zitten we dus perfect op schema volgens de planning van dat model.
Eind van het jaar is het tijd voor een volgende evaluatie.
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