Storm Alert issued at 16 Oct, 2008 9:00 GMT
Intense Hurricane OMAR is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Anguilla
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the British Virgin Islands
probability for TS is 95% currently
Guadeloupe
probability for TS is 95% currently
the Netherlands Antilles
probability for TS is 95% currently
the Virgin Islands
probability for TS is 85% currently
St. Kitts and Nevis
probability for TS is 70% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
St. Thomas (18.5 N, 64.7 W)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
Intense Hurricane OMAR is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Anguilla
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the British Virgin Islands
probability for TS is 95% currently
Guadeloupe
probability for TS is 95% currently
the Netherlands Antilles
probability for TS is 95% currently
the Virgin Islands
probability for TS is 85% currently
St. Kitts and Nevis
probability for TS is 70% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
St. Thomas (18.5 N, 64.7 W)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
Ut Wordt Nix
